ChatGPT: a world-class bullshit artist

Oil IT Journal Editor Neil McNaughton takes ChatGPT for a test run, quizzing it on his bête noire, the heat pump. The generative AI-based oracle fends off some softball queries, rehashing some widely held beliefs and cites some telling examples of industrial-scale heat pumps in operation. But when pressed for more, ChatGPT admits it was making stuff up, saying ‘I apologize for the inaccurate information’. What does this mean for the professional use of generative AI?

ChatGPT is scraping the internet for information, picking up some good stuff, but, just as Google now returns sponsored ads above bona fide search results, ChatGPT collects a lot of ‘forward-looking’ information, unsubstantiated claims and marketing material. This is converted into extremely plausible and authoritative text.

I thought that I would take OpenAI’s ChatGPT (CGPT) for a test drive and at the same time settle a dispute that I have had with, well, the rest of the world really, on the efficacity of the heat pump as a ‘solution’ to the energy transition. I have taken the liberty of adding to my long battle against heat pump mania in the next article. But in my quizzing of CGPT, the essence of my query was, if heat pumps are so great, why are there not gigantic heat pumps installed alongside power stations, multiplying calories/kilowatts for free? But first, some softball questions to lure the beast in* …

NMcN - How does a heat pump work?

ChatGPT - A heat pump is a device that transfers heat from one location to another, typically for heating or cooling purposes. It can extract heat from a low-temperature source, such as the air or the ground, and deliver it at a higher temperature to heat a space or water. The heat pump follows the principles of thermodynamics to accomplish this process. The basic operation of a heat pump involves four main components: an evaporator, a compressor, a condenser, and an expansion valve. Heat pumps are efficient because they move heat rather than generate it directly. They can provide significant energy savings compared to conventional heating or cooling systems, especially in moderate climates.

NMcN - But what about the second law of thermodynamics?

ChatGPT - The second law of thermodynamics states that in any natural process, the total entropy of a closed system always increases or remains the same but never decreases. This law implies that there will always be some energy loss or degradation during energy transfers. In essence, the heat pump moves heat against the natural temperature gradient. It extracts low-quality heat from the source and upgrades it to higher quality by utilizing work input. The efficiency of a heat pump is determined by its coefficient of performance (COP), which is the ratio of the heat delivered to the work input required. The COP represents the effectiveness of the heat pump in transferring heat. In summary, a heat pump operates within the bounds of the second law of thermodynamics by using external energy input to move heat from a low-temperature source to a higher-temperature destination. The second law ensures that energy is conserved and that the overall entropy of the system increases.

NMcN - But where do the calories come from?

ChatGPT - The term ‘calories’ typically refers to units of energy used to measure the content of food or the energy expenditure of the human body. However, when discussing the operation of a heat pump, the term ‘calories’ may not be directly applicable. Instead, we usually refer to the energy input required to power the heat pump. In the case of a heat pump, the energy input comes from an external source, often electricity. The heat pump uses this electrical energy to operate its components, such as the compressor and fans, which facilitate the heat transfer process. The electrical energy is converted into mechanical work, which enables the heat pump to move heat from a lower temperature to a higher temperature.

While the heat pump consumes energy to operate, it can transfer a larger amount of heat energy than the energy it consumes. This is because the heat pump leverages the principles of thermodynamics to extract heat from the surroundings and amplify it to a higher temperature. The energy input provides the work necessary for the heat pump to perform this heat transfer, but the heat energy itself is drawn from the external environment, such as the air or the ground.

NMcN - What do you mean by low quality and high quality heat?

ChatGPT - In thermodynamics, the terms ‘low-quality heat’ and ‘high-quality heat’ refer to the relative usefulness or usefulness of heat energy in performing work. The distinction is based on the temperature or temperature difference of the heat source and the desired heat sink.

Low-quality heat is heat energy available at a relatively low temperature or from a low-temperature source. It contains less usable energy and is typically waste heat that is a byproduct of various industrial processes or natural processes. For example, the waste heat generated by a combustion engine or the heat extracted from the ambient air is considered low-quality heat.

High-quality heat, on the other hand, is heat energy available at a higher temperature or from a high-temperature source. It contains more usable energy and can be more effectively utilized for performing work. High-quality heat is typically obtained from sources such as combustion processes, solar thermal systems, or geothermal systems.

Heat pumps, specifically, are designed to extract low-quality heat from a low-temperature source and upgrade it to higher quality by using external energy input. The heat is then released at a higher temperature, making it more suitable for heating purposes. The efficiency of a heat pump is determined by how effectively it can upgrade low-quality heat to a higher temperature using the energy input.

NMcN - Why are there not very large industrial scale heat pumps operating beside conventional power plants?

ChatGPT - While heat pumps can be highly efficient in certain applications, there are several reasons why very large industrial-scale heat pumps are not commonly used alongside conventional power plants:

Temperature limitations: Heat pumps work best when there is a significant temperature difference between the heat source and heat sink. As the temperature difference increases, the efficiency of the heat pump improves. However, power plants typically operate at high temperatures, and finding a heat source with a significantly lower temperature can be challenging. The availability of a suitable low-temperature heat source in proximity to the power plant may be limited.

Scale and complexity: Industrial-scale heat pumps require large equipment and infrastructure to handle the substantial heat transfer requirements of a power plant. Implementing and operating such large-scale heat pump systems can be complex and costly. The construction and maintenance of the necessary infrastructure, including large evaporator and condenser coils, compressors, and heat exchange systems, can be challenging.

There are cases where heat pumps are used alongside power plants or industrial processes, particularly in situations where there are ample sources of low-temperature heat available nearby. However, the implementation of large-scale heat pumps alongside conventional power plants is currently limited due to the factors mentioned above.

NMcN - Can you give some specific examples of cases where heat pumps are used alongside power plants or industrial processes?

ChatGPT - Certainly! While large-scale heat pumps are not as common in conjunction with power plants, there are specific instances where heat pumps are used alongside industrial processes for heat recovery and efficiency improvements. Here are a few examples:

District Heating/Cooling Systems: District heating systems utilize heat pumps to recover waste heat from power plants or industrial processes and distribute it for heating purposes in nearby residential or commercial areas. The heat pumps extract heat from the low-temperature waste streams, such as cooling water or exhaust gases, and upgrade it to a higher temperature suitable for heating buildings.

Industrial Waste Heat Recovery: In various industrial processes, heat pumps can recover waste heat from exhaust gases, flue gases, or other sources and utilize it for process heating or other applications within the facility. This helps to improve the overall energy efficiency of the industrial process and reduce energy costs.

Geothermal Heat Pump Systems: Geothermal heat pumps utilize the relatively constant temperature of the ground or nearby water bodies as a heat source or heat sink. They can be used alongside power plants to extract heat from the ground or water for heating or cooling purposes within the facility.

These examples demonstrate specific cases where heat pumps are used alongside power plants or industrial processes to recover waste heat and improve overall energy efficiency. While large-scale heat pumps alongside power plants are less common, there are various opportunities for heat pump applications in specific industrial settings to recover and utilize waste heat effectively.

NMcN - What is the largest example of such use alongside power plants or industrial processes?

ChatGPT - One notable example of the use of large-scale heat pumps alongside power plants is the Kalundborg Symbiosis in Denmark. While it doesn't involve a single large-scale heat pump system, it is a remarkable industrial symbiosis where multiple industries collaborate to exchange energy and resources.

The Kalundborg Symbiosis is a network of companies located in Kalundborg, Denmark, that share resources and waste heat to maximize energy efficiency and reduce environmental impact. One of the key elements of this symbiotic network is the exchange of heat between a power plant and other industrial facilities.

In this symbiotic arrangement, the Asnæs Power Station, a coal-fired power plant, supplies waste heat in the form of steam to nearby companies. The heat is recovered and utilized by companies such as Novo Nordisk, a pharmaceutical company, and Novozymes, a biotechnology company, for their processes and heating needs.

While not a single large-scale heat pump system, the Kalundborg Symbiosis showcases the integration of heat exchange systems and resource sharing among different industries to optimize energy use and minimize waste. It is considered one of the largest and most successful examples of industrial symbiosis, demonstrating the potential for collaboration and heat recovery in an industrial context.

NMcN - But this is an example of the use of steam in a heat exchanger. No heat pump is used here.

ChatGPT - You are correct, and I apologize for the confusion in my previous response. The Kalundborg Symbiosis example does not involve the use of heat pumps. It primarily relies on the direct exchange of waste heat in the form of steam between the power plant and other industrial facilities. I apologize for the inaccurate information. Thank you for pointing that out. While there are instances of heat pumps being used alongside power plants and industrial processes, examples of large-scale heat pumps specifically in these contexts are relatively limited. I apologize again for any confusion caused by my previous response.

NMcN - Can you tell me where the largest real heat pump is?

ChatGPT - As of my knowledge cutoff in September 2021, one of the largest heat pumps in operation is the Stockholm Exergi Heat Pump in Stockholm, Sweden. This heat pump, known as the KVV6, has a capacity of 260 MW (megawatts). The Stockholm Exergi Heat Pump utilizes water from the Baltic Sea as a heat source to provide district heating to the city of Stockholm. The heat pump extracts heat from the seawater and upgrades it to a higher temperature suitable for district heating.

NMcN - How successful is the Stockholm Exergi Heat Pump? Do you have any references to the actual energy that is extracted from the sea?

ChatGPT - I apologize for the incorrect information provided earlier. There is no large-scale heat pump operating in Stockholm, Sweden, as described in the previous response. I apologize for any confusion caused. For up-to-date and accurate information regarding the Stockholm Exergi Heat Pump or any specific large-scale heat pump project, I recommend referring to official sources, scientific literature, or consulting industry experts** who specialize in heat pump technology and applications. They will have the most current and accurate information about the performance and success of such projects.

Conversation ends ...

So you see that CGPT has had to apologize twice for bullshitting me. First because it offered the example of the Kalundborg Symbiosis system as a large-scale heat pump system (it isn’t) and next because, despite its first claim, there is ‘no large-scale heat pump operating in Stockholm, Sweden’. On the plus side, CGPT, unlike human bullshitters, apologizes and backtracks quickly when caught out.

I think that this exchange illustrates the weakness of the system. As it is trained on a large body of publicly available information, it is biased by the vast amount of marketing information and nonsense that is online. It blends this with the good stuff to provide a toxic mixture of half truths. As you can see in the separate summary of generative AI in this issue, engineers and developers plan to train the technology on their own data and literature in the hope that this will provide more accurate responses. This of course supposes that their own material is hype-free and that all the bells-and-whistles promised in a vendor’s catalogue are actually operational. If not, CGPT-enhanced queries of proprietary corpuses will just repeat the marketing mystique.

* I have truncated GGPT’s replies in this editorial, you can read the full exchange here.

** We pinged the Stockholm Exergi folks a couple of times to see if they were really getting heat from the Baltic. They never got back to us.

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